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Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Home Sales Data Proves Homebuyers Need Incentives

Today's news that January home sales declined is further evidence that Congress must provide proven incentives like downpayment assistance (DPA) in order to stabilize the housing market, according to Ann Ashburn, President of AmeriDream, Inc. The National Association of Realtors announced today that existing home sales fell 5.3 percent to an annual rate of 4.49 million last month, from 4.74 million in December. It was the worst showing since July of 1997.

Downpayment assistance programs funded in part by sellers expired under federal law in October 2008, despite helping one million families and individuals achieve homeownership. Eliminating these programs effectively removed 300,000 FHA qualified homebuyers from the housing market annually at a time when the economy can least afford it.

"Big decisions lay ahead for Congress and the Obama Administration," said Ashburn. "Our leaders have an historic opportunity to stabilize our housing market by supporting H.R. 600, bipartisan legislation that will reauthorize DPA for credit-ready homebuyers. H.R. 600 will help prevent the downward spiral in home sales and home values that have devastated many neighborhoods. It will also be a sorely needed incentive for the next generation of American homeowners. We urge Congress to act swiftly on H.R. 600, and we encourage members of the public to learn how they can support H.R. 600 by visiting www.ameridream.org."

H.R. 600, sponsored by Rep. Al Green (TX-09) would encourage sustainable homeownership by making non-profit downpayment assistance an allowable gift source for creditworthy borrowers of Federal Housing Administration loans. A broad coalition of organizations support downpayment assistance, including the National Association of Homebuilders, the U.S. Conference of Mayors, the Congressional Black Caucus, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, and the Labor Council for Latin American Advancement.

BACKGROUND: AmeriDream, a 501(c)(3) charity, was established in 1999 to provide housing-related programs to low and moderate income individuals and families. AmeriDream provides a wide range of programs, including homebuyer education, loss mitigation counseling, community development, and privately-funded down payment assistance. These programs are provided at no cost to the taxpayer. AmeriDream not only seeks to help families purchase homes, but also provide them with the education and other resources needed to be responsible homeowners.

Website: http://www.ameridream.org/

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Thursday, February 5, 2009

Obama's Bailout Plan Will Fail Unless it Stops House Price Depreciation

The following is an Op-Ed by Jeff M. Busch, Chairman, Safe Blood International Foundation and former Investment Banker, and Henry E. Cole, Partner, Positive Outcomes; President, Global Development International; and former President, The Futures Group International:

The Obama Administration must take steps to directly purchase 2 million foreclosed homes and provide rental and repurchase rights for these to the existing or new occupants. This will stabilize the housing market and stop further depreciation of home prices. The current deep recession has been brought about by an unprecedented failure in the housing market and can only be reversed by a stabilization of housing prices. This change must be energized by removing the enormous excess of foreclosed homes and foreclosure pressures weighing on families and threatening the housing and mortgage market. Without this, backlog of foreclosures will continue to put downward pressure on housing prices presenting an almost insurmountable damper on the lives and spending of homeowners and on the lending capacity and willingness of the banking sector to help finance recovery and economic growth.

This investment will inject roughly $300 billion back into the economy exactly at the pressure points where the needs are greatest and the economic stimulus can be strongest. It will also stabilize housing prices, giving confidence to consumer and investor decisions and will stabilize the banks, enabling them to begin lending again. Importantly, the government and taxpayer will not lose money on this program since the houses will be sold as the economy recovers.

This proposed Administration response to purchase foreclosed housing is the most straightforward means to address the imbalance of housing supply and demand. Housing inventory levels have ballooned - from the six month inventory of available housing that normally keeps housing prices in balance to levels of 10 months and above. Purchasing foreclosures will make an important difference in this equation. Housing market inventories have been rising over at least the last three years as housing demand has slackened with overall declines in economic growth. At the end of 2007, excess housing supply was as high as 1.5 million units (including substitute rentals). 2008 saw further drops in sales and dramatically accelerated foreclosures (up 45% from 2005), driving inventory levels even higher, compounding downward pressure on housing prices. Housing prices plummeted last year as a result of oversupply. Over 1.5 million additional foreclosures are forecast, with possibilities of 2.2 million borrowers at serious risk. Removing the languishing inventory from the market will prevent the toxic assets from continuing to contaminate the healthy assets in affected communities. Additionally, direct losses for banks and lending institutions from these foreclosures may be over $160 billion, further exacerbating their reluctance to expand loans.

An Obama American Housing Initiative can have results greater than the government's direct foreclosure purchases:

  • Secured housing provides relief to the country's many at-risk homeowners;
  • Stabilized housing prices can dramatically encourage a positive outlook to individuals and financial institutions to put money back into the economy;
  • The government and the taxpayer should not lose. As the economy recovers, housing will be returned to the market; those previously offered rental of their foreclosed homes will have a chance to repurchase them; the government recovers its expenditures.

The economic stimulus of this Initiative cannot be understated. Not only do stabilized housing prices offer a solid base for the financial institutions to lend and invest in both companies and individuals, but it also directly improves the homeowner's capacity and willingness to build, spend and invest.

Finally, stabilized housing prices brought about by foreclosure purchases are critical to America's economic growth, individuality and independence. Those without equity are less able to respond to the many challenges that Americans face. As home values have declined precipitously, America's over 50 million homeowners with mortgages have lost over $1.5 trillion or more in equity value.

This approach enables the Administration to address the economic crisis at its source, halting and preventing an extended decline that erodes the wealth basis for ordinary Americans.

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Wednesday, February 4, 2009

U.S. Foreclosure Market Data by State

Properties with Foreclosure Filings
Rate
Rank State Name NOD LIS NTS NFS REO Total
-- U.S. 46,681 52,435 80,986 27,520 66,777 274,399
39 Alabama 0 0 377 0 543 920
32 Alaska 0 0 112 0 55 167
3 Arizona 1 0 10,128 0 4,545 14,674
22 Arkansas 170 0 1,060 0 286 1,516
2 California 37,693 0 22,731 0 16,337 76,761
11 Colorado 1 0 3,080 0 1,242 4,323
23 Connecticut 0 1,050 0 211 390 1,651
36 Delaware 0 1 0 102 71 174
District of
Columbia 57 0 104 0 46 207
4 Florida 0 24,743 0 10,433 5,594 40,770
8 Georgia 1 0 7,112 0 2,794 9,907
30 Hawaii 53 0 253 0 31 337
9 Idaho 752 0 704 0 56 1,512
6 Illinois 0 7,484 0 4,322 2,641 14,447
14 Indiana 0 1,680 1 1,840 1,035 4,556
35 Iowa 0 0 448 0 229 677
34 Kansas 0 89 0 256 320 665
40 Kentucky 0 16 0 442 213 671
42 Louisiana 0 0 0 386 99 485
37 Maine 101 0 173 0 34 308
16 Maryland 0 2,878 0 412 407 3,697
20 Massachusetts 0 1,616 0 547 1,199 3,362
7 Michigan 0 0 8,127 0 3,291 11,418
28 Minnesota 1 0 725 0 1,160 1,886
43 Mississippi 0 0 243 0 32 275
27 Missouri 57 0 1,125 0 1,287 2,469
46 Montana 0 0 7 0 42 49
49 Nebraska 0 0 0 8 23 31
1 Nevada 6,064 0 4,532 0 3,848 14,444
19 New Hampshire 0 0 485 0 265 750
17 New Jersey 0 3,364 0 1,001 640 5,005
44 New Mexico 0 67 0 24 73 164
38 New York 0 1,988 0 930 578 3,496
33 North Carolina 334 0 891 0 1,161 2,386
45 North Dakota 0 0 0 27 25 52
10 Ohio 0 4,115 0 3,990 3,094 11,199
31 Oklahoma 275 0 186 0 512 973
5 Oregon 40 0 3,763 0 708 4,511
29 Pennsylvania 0 1,214 0 1,360 1,108 3,682
13 Rhode Island 0 0 386 0 359 745
21 South Carolina 0 1,052 0 520 891 2,463
47 South Dakota 0 0 0 38 1 39
18 Tennessee 1 0 2,057 0 1,604 3,662
26 Texas 6 0 5,720 0 4,028 9,754
12 Utah 705 0 538 0 548 1,791
50 Vermont 0 0 0 0 6 6
15 Virginia 369 0 3,579 0 1,418 5,366
24 Washington 0 0 2,237 0 903 3,140
48 West Virginia 0 0 59 0 15 74
25 Wisconsin 0 1,078 0 671 950 2,699
41 Wyoming 0 0 43 0 40 83
                            Properties with Foreclosure Filings
Rate
Rank State Name 1/every X %Change %Change
HU (rate) from from
Dec 08 Jan 08
-- U.S. 466 -9.56 17.77
39 Alabama 2,323 24.83 58.35
32 Alaska 1,690 -41.81 46.49
3 Arizona 182 -8.07 61.98
22 Arkansas 849 -16.43 29.35
2 California 173 -14.18 34.30
11 Colorado 492 -18.73 -36.73
23 Connecticut 871 -19.85 -55.34
36 Delaware 2,233 -58.77 0.58
District of
Columbia 1,373 -31.46 -58.93
4 Florida 214 -19.76 35.10
8 Georgia 400 -1.24 -7.11
30 Hawaii 1,504 -32.46 173.98
9 Idaho 417 -5.38 105.71
6 Illinois 363 16.32 85.05
14 Indiana 610 -4.51 -17.94
35 Iowa 1,964 -23.68 31.71
34 Kansas 1,834 4.23 92.75
40 Kentucky 2,841 -23.92 17.31
42 Louisiana 3,833 -26.18 -32.64
37 Maine 2,262 13.65 48.79*
16 Maryland 627 -16.72 0.43
20 Massachusetts 810 -14.21 -57.80
7 Michigan 397 -15.75 6.25
28 Minnesota 1,222 -21.65 21.68
43 Mississippi 4,563 108.33* 69.75*
27 Missouri 1,072 -24.61** -26.50**
46 Montana 8,888 28.95 -45.56
49 Nebraska 25,187 -32.61 -87.84
1 Nevada 76 -3.96 137.29
19 New Hampshire 792 -14.29 -9.64
17 New Jersey 699 29.50 -2.11
44 New Mexico 5,257 -55.19 -57.18
38 New York 2,271 23.71 -28.08
33 North Carolina 1,729 -7.30 -29.26
45 North Dakota 5,972 18.18 126.09
10 Ohio 452 -0.54 -12.41
31 Oklahoma 1,668 -23.39 -21.02
5 Oregon 357 45.14 218.80*
29 Pennsylvania 1,488 -10.61 118.78
13 Rhode Island 605 -12.46 -4.73
21 South Carolina 821 35.85 462.33*
47 South Dakota 9,160 -13.33 77.27
18 Tennessee 744 -5.72 -13.61
26 Texas 967 2.73 -33.64
12 Utah 517 -4.63 85.02
50 Vermont 51,906 -62.50 500.00*
15 Virginia 610 -25.94** 4.15**
24 Washington 874 13.40 42.73
48 West Virginia 11,928 27.59 39.62
25 Wisconsin 949 16.99 28.40
41 Wyoming 2,920 3.75 93.02

*Actual increase may not be as high due to data collection changes or
improvements
** Collection of some records previously classified as NOD in this state
was discontinued starting in January 2009

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